Tag Archives: S&P 500
This “Non-traditional” Valuation Measure Carries 3 Messages about U.S. Stocks
[S]tock prices have risen pretty robustly. But I think that if you look at traditional valuation measures, the kind of things that we monitor, akin to price-equity ratios, you would not see stock prices in territory that suggests bubble-like conditions. … Continue reading
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Tagged Greenspan/Bernanke puts, Janet Yellen, non-traditional valuation measures, price-to-earnings, S&P 500, S&P 500 earnings, traditional valuation measures
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P/E Multiples, Deleveraging and the Big Experiment: Sizing Up the Next Bear Market
We last wrote about stock valuation in August, when we looked at three types of P/E multiples and argued that stocks were more stretched than you would think if you only relied on the simplest measure. Since then, we’ve had … Continue reading
Breaking Bad News from the Fed’s Z1: Expansions Tend to Explode Near Current Leverage Multiples
In an earlier article, I argued that the S&P 500 (SPY) is more expensive than you might think if you only compared prices to trailing earnings. I recommended a different approach that suggests today’s valuation is similar to that of … Continue reading
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Tagged Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, Bernanke put, Bernanke successor, Breaking Bad, CIU, CLY, credit bubble, debt ratio, debt-to-profits, financial report of the United States, flow of funds, Greenspan put, JNK, leverage multiple, LQD, moral hazard, NIPA, nonfinancial corporate debt, Robert Shiller, S&P 500, SPY, Walter White, whatever it takes central banking, Z.1, Z1
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